Immense-Ash
0x4b2c9fa6f35ad1357862a1aa4621d98ea7d8c7a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
114
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-687.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $52m and $57m?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5$5.00May 1, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWild vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5$5.76May 1, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$8.12May 1, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$5.52Mar 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5$2.10Mar 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5$3.11Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5$7.14Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMFlames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5$10.00Mar 17, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5$4.64Mar 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5$5.30Mar 16, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5$5.55Mar 16, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMLa Union vs. Ferro Carril Oeste$12.00Mar 16, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Union vs. Ferro Carril Oeste$8.40Mar 15, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMNovak Djokovic vs. Jack Draper: Total Sets O/U 2.5$10.10Mar 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5$2.55Mar 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)$2.84Mar 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Devils: O/U 7.5$4.00Mar 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. St. Louis Cardinals$8.40Mar 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)$3.98Mar 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCarlos Alcaraz vs. Cameron Norrie: Total Sets O/U 2.5$1.38Mar 12, 23:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".