Scared-Lawyer
0x4b2cfa7243b9b14372af1e2c80887a1b82c3da3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$995.60
Total PnL
$-40.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$199.90
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 14?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$199.10
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$99.95
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$99.95
$0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12?
100 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$99.95
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 14?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$99.70
$0.10
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$49.98
$0.02
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.92
$-0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.95
$0.05
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 45.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.20
$1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13?$100.00Jun 13, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 13?$100.00Jun 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 14?$194.71Jun 13, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?$200.00Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13?$200.00Jun 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 14?$4.89Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14?$99.81Jun 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 14?$7.98Jun 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 14?$99.62Jun 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$8.34Jun 13, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$16.49Jun 13, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$10.00Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on June 12?$72.03Jun 12, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 12?$200.00Jun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12?$100.00Jun 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13?$99.81Jun 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$8.05Jun 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13?$199.81Jun 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?$99.05Jun 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 13?$99.90Jun 12, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $92.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.