Icky-Eve
0x4b36aa907ac76554a0be29c51cc8e4672d820af7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8AM ET
1428 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2AM ET
464 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7AM ET
400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1AM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10PM ET
199 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12AM ET
199 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-39.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8AM ET
187 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8AM ET
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.18Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.19Jul 3, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 19, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.27Jun 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.17Jun 14, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.17Jun 14, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 14, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 30?$1.11Jun 14, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.32Jun 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 30?$1.10May 24, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.22May 24, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.23May 24, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.11May 24, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$1.47Apr 18, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?$2.53Apr 18, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$4.52Apr 18, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET$200.00Apr 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10PM ET$0.82Apr 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10PM ET$0.06Apr 18, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.