Detailed-Sticker
0x4b3e3bbba2f0681d8578072d1c68954b56b204a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 19?
995 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 15?
959 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?
870 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on December 18?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 22?
542 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 4?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
442 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 7?
433 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?
404 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.