Austere-Lag
0x4b466e94a490dbfd39d2b397d3a35e741c54538f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
72 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-32.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
32 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.91
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
19 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$0.00Mar 19, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$0.00Mar 19, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$10.00Feb 26, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$195.18Feb 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$66.00Feb 20, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$32.55Feb 11, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.00Feb 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$10.00Feb 10, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.00Feb 9, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$9.00Feb 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$40.81Feb 9, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$18.75Feb 9, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$15.00Feb 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$10.00Jan 21, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $27.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.