Wretched-Reliability
0x4b4cfd7c4e57de41c3431c97f0bd9af47ede97c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.3K
Realised
$-209.80
Win rate
32%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
1203 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
1017 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
995 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-591.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
926 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-895.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
851 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
832 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-393.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
584 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-277.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
540 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-295.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-01?$2.03Jul 1, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?$2.03Jul 1, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?$0.62Jun 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$3.04Jun 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.95May 17, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.96May 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.03May 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.99May 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.48May 17, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.84May 17, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$71.94May 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.59May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.26May 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.07May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2.13May 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$36.10May 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$10.38May 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.03May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.86May 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.89May 17, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.