Talkative-Addiction
0x4b4d3ab6d71e36ae2b6d5db9d77b95ed8d30fe0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?
180 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
172 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 23?
139 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 24?
134 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 16?
133 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?
113 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 31?
94 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 12PM ET
91 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-86.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?
90 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 9?
86 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?$50.07Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?$0.07Jul 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?$47.50Jul 4, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$59.10May 31, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 31?$1.40May 31, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$2.65May 29, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 30?$57.74May 29, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$54.11May 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$0.06May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$51.50May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 16?$3.13May 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$2.02May 10, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$61.05May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 9?$1.46May 8, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$59.40May 7, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?$67.85Apr 27, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?$65.33Apr 18, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 1?$54.87Apr 18, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 1?$0.00Apr 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 1?$2.83Apr 1, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $25.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.