Burdensome-Overnighter
0x4b4d4b0bc6da2c0a963af724b4733f6de2b96b6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
24999 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?
7271 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-227.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
805 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-446.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
754 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-360.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
561 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-197.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
462 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-239.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
387 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-197.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
363 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-99.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
354 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
346 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 2?$0.19Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 25?$6.51Mar 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?$101.35Mar 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 2?$55.00Mar 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?$300.00Mar 2, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 25?$2.99Feb 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 25?$3.92Feb 25, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on February 25?$57.99Feb 25, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 25?$67.88Feb 25, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 25?$3.68Feb 25, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 25?$38.75Feb 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 25?$6.39Feb 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 25?$0.70Feb 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 25?$0.70Feb 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 25?$0.70Feb 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$10.00Feb 25, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$10.00Feb 25, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 25?$0.64Feb 25, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 25?$2.83Feb 25, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 25?$6.36Feb 24, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".