Genuine-Airmail
0x4b4e6fcd834796c91b790b4fd2e9175e4ace6880
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.07
Total PnL
$-5.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
137 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$1.00Apr 13, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.00Apr 13, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?$2.32Apr 13, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$5.18Apr 13, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$5.90Apr 13, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.99Apr 13, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$7.09Apr 13, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$9.29Apr 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?$18.56Apr 13, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$4.77Jan 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.17Jan 27, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.51Jan 24, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$3.84Jan 22, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$5.42Jan 22, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Lions win the NFC Championship?$1.68Jan 19, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 19, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?$2.27Jan 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?$4.00Jan 11, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?$6.85Jan 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$3.20Jan 4, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 03:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.