Blind-Causeway
0x4b544dc2389bcd0aadb2c09e20b4c30319f0ebcc
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-40.51
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 2?
1069 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.1K
$-1.07
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 20?
4200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?
1082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 13?
1080 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?
1075 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?
1071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11?
1063 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?
1059 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 2?$1.1K8h ago
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on April 30?$1.1K1d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on April 30?$1.1K2d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 30?$1.1K2d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 30?$1.1K2d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$2.1212d ago
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.1420d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 12?$2.1421d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?$2.1634d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11?$2.1353d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 13?$7.5678d ago
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.0078d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?$8.6086d ago
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.0089d ago
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.0089d ago
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.0089d ago
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.0089d ago
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.0189d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.0089d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.0091d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $444.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 105d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".