Scratchy-Dissemination
0x4b5572da07efa13d770d8a087268f9979d780832
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$18.68
Total PnL
$-5.12
Realised
$-1.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.99
$0.99
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.91
$0.00
- NO
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.67
$0.00
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Mason Foley win TN-7 Special Election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mason Foley win TN-7 Special Election?$2.00Dec 3, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?$309.12Dec 3, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?$314.60Dec 2, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?$306.48Dec 2, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?$308.80Dec 2, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$2.00Dec 2, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$10.00Dec 2, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yablunivka before August?$1.19Dec 2, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?$2.30Dec 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?$2.00Jun 21, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$1.00Jun 21, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yablunivka before August?$1.00Jun 21, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMX allowed to operate in China before May?$1.02Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.06Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin O'Leary buy TikTok?$1.07Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMChampions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villa$1.22Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cam Ward and Shedeur Sanders be drafted 1st and 2nd?$1.25Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMUEFA Nations League Round of 8: Croatia vs. France$2.60Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $45.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.