Menacing-Stability
0x4b5a0769e4e43a2512e0664ed437ef7ba16e2bb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$184.16
Total PnL
$-7.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 17.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$25.27
$5.19
- YES
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
92 shares @ 10.8¢·now 21.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.72
$9.72
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-04?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$14.40
$-1.80
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$11.70
$-0.10
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$11.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
15 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.42
$-0.08
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.26
$0.18
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.67
$-0.97
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.35
$0.25
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?
15 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.87
$-0.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?$6.89May 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.27May 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12May 28, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12May 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12May 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.10May 28, 08:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?$10.22May 27, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$7.06May 27, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$5.47May 27, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$8.58May 27, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$6.39May 27, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$10.59May 27, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$11.95May 27, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peru win on 2026-06-05?$6.67May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-04?$16.29May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?$10.74May 27, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win on 2026-06-03?$6.41May 27, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2026-06-02?$5.37May 27, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".