Hard-Nibble
0x4b5a53ee7326eb7deb8de2870871093a49b1024b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$497.75
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
31451 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4452 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-254.35
- OHIO STATE
Miami vs. Ohio State
3678 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- BILLS
Eagles vs. Bills
2575 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
2500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1955 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-126.23
- RAMS
Rams vs. Falcons
1768 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-340.22
- MICHIGAN
Michigan vs. Texas
1514 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-560.00
- YES
Luka Doncic 2024 NBA Finals MVP?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2024$0.00
$-130.00
- GEORGIA TECH
Georgia Tech vs. BYU
980 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-340.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$68.78May 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$156.81May 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.64May 4, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$60.14May 4, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$48.38May 4, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.61May 4, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami vs. Ohio State$88.00Jan 1, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami vs. Ohio State$500.00Jan 1, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$595.52Jan 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami vs. Ohio State$1.6KJan 1, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichigan vs. Texas$560.00Dec 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee vs. Illinois$500.00Dec 30, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. Falcons$300.59Dec 30, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. Falcons$10.40Dec 30, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. Falcons$99.00Dec 30, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$100.00Dec 30, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Falcons$200.00Dec 30, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Falcons$100.00Dec 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Falcons$0.85Dec 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Falcons$200.00Dec 30, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $266.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".