Bouncy-Host
0x4b5b133f0830252e4bb22f42c2d7b9bba451529a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-258.25
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5770 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-265.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5
1680 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1462 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-569.32
- NO
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
1115 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
1000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-780.00
- YES
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
626 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.09
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
537 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-27.37
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
447 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
300 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-59.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$3.07Jul 23, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.07Jul 23, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.60Jul 23, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.84Jul 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$7.95Jul 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$9.52Jul 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.57Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$9.92Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$7.36Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.76Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.25Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.45Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.15Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$3.45Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.07Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.57Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$7.13Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.53Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.25Jul 23, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.