Fortunate-Contributor
0x4b5b69245f123844c0a04f0cf0758b0858dca4f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-73.13
Realised
$7.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 10?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
161 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
74 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.06May 11, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.03May 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.38May 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.04May 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95May 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.38May 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$2.00Apr 27, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.64Apr 26, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Apr 26, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.62Apr 26, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$6.00Apr 26, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Apr 26, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$4.29Apr 26, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$2.97Apr 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.00Apr 23, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".