Formal-Swimsuit
0x4b5c8c3915f5bcd483655803e350af8541a689e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.90
Total PnL
$-18.1K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- DENMARK
Will England or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals?
1127 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 7, 2021$0.90
$-376.51
- NO
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.25 ppm on March 23, 2021?
86000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2021$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021?
52311 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2021$0.00
$-185.23
- NO
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
15824 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2021$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021?
14492 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2021$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
10104 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2021$0.00
$-589.98
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021?
10014 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2021$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?
7796 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2021$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021?
4517 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2021$0.00
$-852.98
- NO
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30?
4290 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2021$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$0.00Sep 30, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3?$101.89Aug 19, 12:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$310.79Jul 6, 20:05 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$324.24Jul 6, 20:03 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$1.1KJul 5, 13:20 UTC
- MERGEWill inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June?$912.96Jul 5, 12:15 UTC
- MERGEWill weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3?$975.07Jul 5, 12:14 UTC
- MERGEWho will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1000.00Jul 4, 12:29 UTC
- MERGEWill Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary?$1.4KJul 4, 12:25 UTC
- MERGEWill Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary?$707.81Jul 4, 12:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$1.5KJul 3, 14:31 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$1.4KJul 3, 14:29 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$3.1KJul 3, 14:28 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$3.3KJul 3, 14:27 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$3.5KJul 3, 14:26 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?$3.7KJul 3, 14:25 UTC
- MERGEWill the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?$3.9KJul 3, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill England or Germany qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals?$134.21Jun 30, 06:42 UTC
- MERGEWill the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?$1.0KJun 26, 08:51 UTC
- MERGEWill the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?$368.55Jun 26, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".