Biodegradable-Hexagon
0x4b5f2cfb1d5736789d1ed89c5fd34ba79e96aad0
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$29.99
Total PnL
$-60.86
Realised
$20.95
Win rate
88%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
30 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$29.99
$12.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
46 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
40 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
18 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
18 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
16 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
11 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
10 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
10 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.55Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.09Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.01Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.70Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.15Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.10Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.65Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.79Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.79Jul 30, 02:24 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$15.01Jul 30, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.00Jul 30, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.05Jul 30, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.50Jul 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.05Jul 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.49Jul 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.01Jul 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.10Jul 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.15Jul 30, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 02:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.