Mortified-Scarecrow
0x4b607104959474240c4b30ed0e12239a4027a149
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.06
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
281 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
235 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
130 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
67 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 10?
53 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 10?
26 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.81May 15, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.20May 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.07May 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.17May 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.51May 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.05May 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$2.09May 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$2.08May 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.31May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.11May 15, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.11May 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.04May 15, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00May 15, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$18.75May 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$6.29May 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.05May 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.05May 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.05May 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$8.30May 15, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.