Dual-Flare
0x4b67c534b78369a4dcafbf2c15c77b0182aa3bf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.13
Total PnL
$-10.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3 shares @ 71.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$2.80
$0.80
- NO
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.33
$1.33
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before August?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Negative GDP growth in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$1.00Jul 7, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before August?$1.00Jul 3, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Jul 3, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.00Jul 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?$1.00Jul 2, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Jul 2, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump trade deal before July?$0.00Jul 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?$0.00Jul 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Houthi strike on Israel before July?$0.00Jul 2, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$0.00Jul 2, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$5.68Jul 2, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Jul 1, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin talk before July?$1.53Jul 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$0.74Jun 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?$1.00Jun 26, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $1.00Jun 25, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump trade deal before July?$3.00Jun 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$2.00Jun 25, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.01Jun 25, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$1.00Jun 25, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.