Sturdy-Polarization
0x4b6a81191d1ce8f42d1cda99e8a85adf80581300
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-83.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?
1015 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 9?
373 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?
331 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-47.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 9?
321 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 9?
280 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?
190 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?
91 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 9?
64 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.01Apr 24, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 9?$10.00Apr 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?$50.00Apr 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$229.53Apr 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$40.50Apr 7, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$4.56Apr 7, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$100.00Apr 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$100.00Apr 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$5.00Apr 6, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $44.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".