Smoggy-Implication
0x4b6afd26dd5e0a919dcb8ade1a43854301428f52
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$6.20
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-17.09
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
6 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.20
$1.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on March 16?
43186 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-73.76
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
2113 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Knicks
1538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-199.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on March 26?
423 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?
230 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-108.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 16?
190 shares @ 78.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-148.38
- YES
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?
169 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on March 25?
151 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-122.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?
133 shares @ 66.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-88.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 26?$0.25Mar 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?$14.00Mar 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on March 25?$15.14Mar 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26?$72.00Mar 29, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 25?$112.00Mar 29, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 28?$6.65Mar 26, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.28Mar 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.09Mar 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.09Mar 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.26Mar 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.16Mar 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.17Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.26Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.26Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.18Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.10Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.10Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.40Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.18Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?$0.35Mar 25, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".