Instructive-Equivalent
0x4b6d683bb766505f4d590148178d8feb1a26c31f
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.53
Total PnL
$-1.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- XAVIER MUSKETEERS
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Xavier Musketeers
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.53
$0.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 30?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CINCINNATI
Arizona vs. Cincinnati
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGeorgetown Hoyas vs. Xavier Musketeers$1.00Feb 28, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.07Feb 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Jan 24, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.15Jan 24, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona vs. Cincinnati$1.00Nov 15, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Syria by August 31?$1.30Nov 15, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Syria by August 31?$1.09Aug 30, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 30?$1.00Jul 29, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMOrioles vs. Rangers$2.00Jul 29, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOrioles vs. Rangers$1.00Jun 30, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.44Jun 30, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.40Apr 3, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin in March?$2.06Apr 3, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$1.28Mar 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin in March?$1.40Mar 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$1.00Feb 5, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.19Feb 5, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Mavericks$0.00Feb 5, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMBlue Jackets vs. Penguins$0.00Feb 5, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".