Ignorant-Ability-Youth
0x4b72b21f7e9999d568d9b93f0be110257d9938d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$453.13
Total PnL
$164.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
315 shares @ 43.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.88
$128.22
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
172 shares @ 64.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$154.12
$43.91
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 72.4¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.13
$-7.55
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.40Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$4.34Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.64Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?$167.08Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?$539.31Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?$506.50Jun 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$101.63Jun 10, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$101.63Jun 10, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?$200.92Jun 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?$451.51Jun 6, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$104.92Jun 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?$199.59Jun 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$52.30Jun 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$140.76Jun 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$20.43Jun 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$111.79Jun 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.58Jun 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12.69Jun 6, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$190.23Jun 6, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$101.78Jun 6, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $142.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 01:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.