0x4b7e113b4c94cbf2cfef0aed272937f189f15b3c
0x4b7e113b4c94cbf2cfef0aed272937f189f15b3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-193.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?
1181 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-50.78
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2024?
1086 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2024$0.00
$-48.00
- DEMOCRATS
Senate control after 2024 election?
152 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
152 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2024?
121 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2024$0.00
$-24.43
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
41 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSenate control after 2024 election?$32.00Nov 5, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$35.00Nov 5, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey win the 2024 Euros?$50.78Jul 6, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTC hit $90,000 in March?$0.00Apr 9, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEM$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March?$0.00Apr 9, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMVanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?$0.00Apr 9, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by March 20?$0.00Apr 9, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$28.57Mar 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$97.07Mar 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 20?$33.90Mar 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 20?$10.00Mar 9, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 20?$20.00Mar 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2024?$10.00Mar 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2024?$10.00Mar 7, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTC hit $90,000 in March?$10.00Mar 7, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March?$10.00Mar 7, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$354.94Mar 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2024?$20.00Mar 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?$30.00Mar 4, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by Friday?$0.00Mar 4, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $25.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".