Naughty-Admission
0x4b7ee78a0f38a16f32c4e668069138883c35473d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$66.42
Total PnL
$-761.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
74 shares @ 81.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.07
$-15.93
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.35
$-27.65
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-56.40
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
40 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
32 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-30.48
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
21 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$60.00Jan 2, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$19.94Jan 2, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 2, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$10.26Jan 2, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$50.00Jan 2, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 21, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$30.00Dec 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$42.90Dec 14, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$5.14Dec 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$5.04Dec 14, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$13.40Dec 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$18.30Dec 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$13.40Dec 13, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$15.80Dec 13, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$50.00Dec 13, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 13, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$20.00Dec 13, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $20.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".