Half-Plan
0x4b854d695e6ae5e8838c513ceb775c048f83fbb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-6.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 20?
1090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
900 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
720 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.76
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
600 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
519 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$13.44Feb 23, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMRB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$28.00Feb 16, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$19.32Feb 15, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMBrentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$19.00Feb 15, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$9.88Feb 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$0.45Feb 8, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$30.15Feb 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$28.88Feb 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$0.10Feb 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$52.53Feb 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$13.46Feb 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?$11.80Feb 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?$18.88Feb 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?$69.93Feb 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beşiktaş JK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?$47.60Feb 8, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$22.50Feb 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5$214.76Feb 8, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEM1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score$214.99Feb 6, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score$10.86Feb 6, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score$2.44Feb 6, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $43.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".