0x4b86f1eb0ce990a17e1663318239bf07440a1346
0x4b86f1eb0ce990a17e1663318239bf07440a1346
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$52.21
Total PnL
$-141.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?
46 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$46.04
$0.05
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- T1
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- T1
Valorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- TEAM SECRET WHALES
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A
5000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
107 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-59.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in April?$46.00Apr 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$1.00Apr 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega$1.00Apr 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.00Apr 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$60.72Apr 11, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Apr 11, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$59.73Apr 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B$1.0KMar 19, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B$1000.00Mar 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B$5.1KMar 19, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A$10.00Mar 18, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A$10.00Mar 18, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A$50.00Mar 18, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B$5.0KMar 18, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$12.12Mar 18, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$18.18Mar 18, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$59.61Mar 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.21Mar 18, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $517.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.