Respectful-Handmaiden
0x4b8767129bd4df2e7130e98f986fd4e73d94274c
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-277.84
Win rate
21%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
1325 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-358.84
- NO
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?
559 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-18.45
- YES
Will Kenny Pickett start Week 1 for the Browns?
339 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-90.48
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
297 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?
279 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.97
- NO
Will neither OP_CTV nor OP_CAT be activated in 2025?
250 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
208 shares @ 71.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-148.18
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit France in 2025?$0.14Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$4.54Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMKraken IPO in 2025?$4.77Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$11.07Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMLuigi Mangione mistrial?$24.24Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$30.00Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?$46.14Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court vacancy in 2025?$50.00Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?$56.35Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$69.74Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $109.75Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS national XRP reserve in 2025?$116.90Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Ethereum reserve in 2025?$147.11Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$150.00Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$150.00Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$200.87Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$300.66Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPepe ETF in 2025?$0.82Nov 23, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?$24.27Nov 23, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $40.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".