0x4b8940b849cdc7670bc6f1e9edc207e39e38655e
0x4b8940b849cdc7670bc6f1e9edc207e39e38655e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.15
Total PnL
$-89.73
Realised
$39.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$20.08
$0.12
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$20.07
$0.26
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
132 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-101.16
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in Rebounds?
41 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
34 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
20 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
10 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$6.16May 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.15Apr 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.48Apr 28, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?$23.23Apr 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.60Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$138.06Apr 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$93.96Apr 6, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter Milan win the Serie A?$91.76Apr 5, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$0.45Apr 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$10.00Apr 5, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$0.19Apr 5, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$19.80Apr 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$15.99Apr 3, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.41Apr 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$7.20Apr 3, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$19.34Apr 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$29.40Apr 2, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$37.60Apr 2, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?$59.24Apr 2, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$100.80Apr 2, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".