Cool-Pattypan
0x4b8ae011176b76888949476d7fb7a56985faf4a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$868.31
Total PnL
$-55.4K
Realised
$973.17
Win rate
60%
77 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1268 shares @ 35.7¢·now 52.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$659.54
$206.43
- NO
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
345 shares @ 41.9¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$120.86
$-23.66
- YES
Will 5+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
459 shares @ 15.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$73.44
$4.05
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
499 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$14.46
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
109175 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-227.30
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
21959 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-59.84
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
5300 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-437.24
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
5059 shares @ 80.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
5000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$23.10Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$29.70Jun 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.05Jun 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$0.75Jun 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$0.01Jun 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Guimaraes be in Brazil's Starting 11?$0.20Jun 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.50Jun 13, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jun 13, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$55.00Jun 13, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$1.31Jun 13, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 13, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.10Jun 13, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.60Jun 13, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 13, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.60Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$3.75Jun 13, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 13, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$6.29Jun 13, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 77 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.