Informal-Expertise
0x4b8c8f25a0ab91aa2bffe45de975f16fde2f9e5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
17%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
6012 shares @ 4.7¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$493.02
$208.64
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
1346 shares @ 10.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$127.85
$-9.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
1275 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$123.70
$10.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 54.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$109.00
$-0.79
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
665 shares @ 7.8¢·now 14.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$97.78
$45.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18?
2595 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$89.54
$16.75
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
110 shares @ 67.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.74
$5.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19?
5517 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$44.14
$-20.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 18?
2400 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$40.80
$3.70
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
1568 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.50
$-2.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$10.98Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$44.81Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$37.80Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$16.20Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.51Jun 13, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1.54Jun 13, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?$0.05Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.04Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.04Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?$1.00Jun 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?$1.70Jun 13, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?$7.66Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$67.99Jun 13, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.01Jun 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?$6.80Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?$1.97Jun 13, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?$9.60Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.