Informal-Expertise
0x4b8c8f25a0ab91aa2bffe45de975f16fde2f9e5d
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$333.24
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-370.11
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
28963 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$333.08
$-476.94
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 13.6¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
230697 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-322.98
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
203757 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-321.53
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
4599 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-24.54
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
1160 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-23.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$43.615h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$43.615h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$36.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$3.079h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2.889h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$12.059h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$19.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$20.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$15.309h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$22.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$42.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$21.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$26.4010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$22.0010h ago
- TRADESELLWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$119.3014h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$75.0622h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$93.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$29.501d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$253.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$50.001d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.