Warped-Emerald-Mask
0x4b8d1ee0d356f1317622bb880aebc17290496987
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-205.79
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
1160 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-702.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
900 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-54.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
700 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-478.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
600 shares @ 67.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-405.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
590 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-428.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
500 shares @ 63.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-318.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
400 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-106.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
400 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-225.92
- UP
BNB Up or Down - July 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
400 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-235.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
320 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-223.55
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$10.88Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.63Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.4KJul 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$136.55Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$207.48Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$167.22Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$90.44Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$82.09Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$88.91Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$89.48Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$75.67Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$92.47Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$36.12Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$37.48Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$33.79Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$31.82Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$29.08Jul 22, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$50.00Jul 22, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$44.63Jul 22, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$27.70Jul 22, 08:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $75.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.