Upset-Workshop
0x4b8dc1eb1cecc3a9880003ef7723573abc8bae34
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,100-$5,225 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,225-$5,350 in February?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?
141 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
32 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
12 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$9.08Mar 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$10.08Mar 7, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$5.55Mar 7, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?$4.00Mar 4, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.67Feb 28, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.54Feb 28, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.12Feb 28, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,100-$5,225 in February?$1.00Feb 27, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,225-$5,350 in February?$1.00Feb 27, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$3.92Feb 27, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$2.00Feb 27, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.32Feb 26, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.