Well-Made-Blackfish
0x4b92a2d2fd3807981a5dddae7315122530a542e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.1K
Realised
$-25.6K
Win rate
39%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
150513 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.4K
- YES
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
68757 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
60218 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
52695 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
52210 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
50210 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
50210 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
50210 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
50210 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
50210 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$76.5KFeb 23, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$26.83Feb 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$45.70Feb 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$37.67Feb 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$24.42Feb 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.01Feb 10, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$59.88Feb 10, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.48Feb 10, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$3.27Feb 10, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.10Feb 9, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
39% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
59 closed markets, 39% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.