Ajar-Emotion
0x4b98ae150eb231f09b9759771a11457bcbcf0497
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.18
Total PnL
$-13.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 12.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.18
$-0.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
6270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
6110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
4220 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
4200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
3300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
3232 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
78 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
69 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-34.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.91Mar 30, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.01Mar 30, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.02Mar 30, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$1.03Mar 30, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another win Best Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?$1.03Mar 30, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 6?$1.09Mar 30, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 6?$1.00Feb 6, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another win Best Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?$1.00Feb 6, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.00Feb 6, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.01Feb 6, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$1.00Feb 6, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 20, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$10.2KDec 20, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.5KDec 20, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$35.97Dec 20, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$30.00Dec 20, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$434.03Dec 20, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$6.2KDec 20, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.1KDec 20, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $866.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 03:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".