Immediate-Transparency
0x4b98be77d3da75d4e0d759b7ae9e15a6917d0e50
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$243.63
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
3994 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-10-02?
922 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-224.85
- BOUZKOVA
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova
837 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
734 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?
430 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will FCSB win on 2025-10-02?
421 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-151.74
- YES
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?
392 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-109.81
- CERUNDOLO
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yunchaokete Bu vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
345 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-79.64
- MUCHOVA
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Amanda Anisimova
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- PAOLINI
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Amanda Anisimova
253 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilic$10.10May 7, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$9.99May 7, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$19.99May 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$3.10May 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$5.16May 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$20.64May 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$20.64May 4, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinka$18.44May 4, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinka$88.03May 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinka$13.97May 4, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$2.06May 3, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$1.03May 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$1.03May 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$67.50May 3, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-08?$22.55Jan 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-22?$24.95Nov 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?$21.94Nov 22, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$22.74Nov 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win on 2025-11-15?$21.74Nov 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWuhan Tennis Open: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff$49.79Oct 12, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $40.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".