Turbulent-Apology
0x4b9aeb3e2fd54cb2f03c222a91156304b30d7e02
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$8.60
Total PnL
$-61.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$-3.30
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?
97 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-19?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 2, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 2, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 29, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.19May 29, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?$1.02May 24, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?$5.06May 24, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.03May 19, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$1.00May 10, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$1.02May 10, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?$16.13May 9, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?$5.05May 8, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?$5.10May 8, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.16May 8, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 8, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5$14.16May 2, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Alex Bolt$5.10Apr 30, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMauthausen: Sandro Kopp vs David Jorda Sanchis$5.06Apr 30, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$17.47Apr 25, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$5.00Apr 24, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMRobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 22?$0.00Apr 23, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.