0x4b9cb285b984042f95e31b004920cbd89e592d4b
0x4b9cb285b984042f95e31b004920cbd89e592d4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
827 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
99 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
36 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.21May 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military draft authorized in 2026?$1.68May 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$2.88May 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.97May 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$3.25Apr 4, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.60Apr 4, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.21Apr 4, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.00Apr 4, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.77Apr 4, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.52Apr 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$5.93Mar 30, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.20Mar 30, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.