Fixed-Performance
0x4b9e2adf471c9d68a11c20d7599a9afdc4b8cf00
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-15.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
580 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$580.00
$0.58
- NO
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026?
350 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$350.00
$0.35
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
300 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$300.00
$3.90
- NO
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
240 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$240.00
$0.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
421 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
370 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$296.10Mar 30, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$579.42Mar 28, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$239.76Mar 26, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026?$349.65Mar 24, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$489.02Mar 24, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$489.51Mar 24, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?$123.46Mar 19, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$420.04Mar 19, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$417.90Mar 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$1.96Nov 24, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Miss Universe 2025?$440.00Nov 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Miss Universe 2025?$435.16Nov 14, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on November 6?$440.27Nov 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on November 6?$439.56Nov 5, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$199.20Oct 29, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$200.00Oct 29, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$226.00Oct 29, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3700 on August 2 at 5PM ET?$240.00Oct 29, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$250.00Oct 29, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephan Jaeger win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?$510.11Oct 29, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $154.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 04:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.