Willing-Duck
0x4ba3c97f1306430eea73969e84bea1dfaf2283de
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
12395 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
9677 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-299.99
- YES
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
5000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
3119 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-81.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
2041 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
1081 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?
932 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?
889 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.00 by December 31?
335 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1.2KFeb 20, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by October 31?$475.00Oct 29, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by October 31?$129.60Oct 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by October 31?$68.72Oct 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by October 31?$80.00Oct 29, 21:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Sep 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$385.56Sep 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$61.71Sep 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$6.60Sep 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$300.00Sep 28, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?$40.00Sep 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$96.13Sep 21, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.3KSep 19, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1000.00Sep 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.0KSep 17, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 29m?$37.00Sep 17, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$3.9KSep 11, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$500.00Sep 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sky win the USDH ticker?$20.00Sep 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$1000.00Sep 9, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $581.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".