Unacceptable-Elicit
0x4ba68626581cc261ea11ab791b4eeb27a0ac72f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$7.34
Total PnL
$-20.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.34
$0.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
4600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
4116 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2335 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2334 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2334 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2332 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2332 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2332 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.08Mar 19, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.02Mar 19, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.04Mar 19, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$5.00Mar 19, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 3, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$4.99Feb 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.02Feb 3, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.05Feb 3, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$2.05Feb 3, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$56.00Jan 10, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$1.00Jan 10, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.05Jan 8, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$3.01Jan 8, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 29, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$2.3KDec 29, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Dec 29, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $584.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".