Vivid-Institute
0x4ba845581d09f7666fe32b586d30ced318355417
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.94
Total PnL
$-102.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.97
$-0.00
- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.97
$0.01
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 26, 11AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- 76ERS
Knicks vs. 76ers
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.98Apr 10, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.96Apr 10, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.94Apr 10, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Apr 10, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Mar 26, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.93Mar 26, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.96Mar 26, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.97Mar 21, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.97Mar 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.64Mar 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.98Mar 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.68Mar 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$2.80Feb 11, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 26, 11AM ET$100.00Jan 26, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on November 10?$0.00Nov 12, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on November 10?$8.00Nov 12, 07:58 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down on November 10?$8.00Nov 10, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 7, 10PM ET$0.00Nov 10, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 7, 10PM ET$8.00Nov 10, 09:52 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - November 7, 10PM ET$8.00Nov 6, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $9.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".