Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-234.58

Realised

$-0.36

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 90

YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
1056 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET
1050 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
267 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-6.33
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
213 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-4.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
166 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 12:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 12:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 12:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$2.00Apr 15, 12:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$3.27Apr 15, 12:19 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Apr 15, 12:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 12:12 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 12:09 UTC
TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 12:08 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 07:59 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.44Mar 1, 07:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 07:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 07:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 07:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 23:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Feb 28, 23:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 23:43 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 23:43 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.40Feb 28, 23:43 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.44Feb 28, 23:42 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk43 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 37
Avg trade size: $1.33
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 28, 23:19 UTC
Last active: Apr 15, 12:47 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:42:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data