Parched-Vine
0x4bac974e8a83297b924277755ed4467c6f1fba73
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$281.51
Total PnL
$-22.9K
Realised
$430.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
282 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$281.51
$81.51
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
30000 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.3K
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
10712 shares @ 79.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.6K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
9140 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
6717 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3077 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
2561 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Israel x Syria security deal before September?
1306 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-365.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$202.90May 14, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$200.00Apr 26, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$200.00Apr 26, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$6.0KMar 8, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$568.08Mar 6, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.3KMar 4, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.7KMar 3, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$500.00Mar 2, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1000.00Mar 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$700.00Mar 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$1.1KMar 2, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$1.5KMar 2, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$1.5KMar 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3.0KFeb 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.1KFeb 28, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.8KFeb 28, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.7KFeb 18, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.3KFeb 12, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$342.96Feb 5, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$540.00Feb 5, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $755.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".