Sure-Footed-Barge
0x4bad4ae5edee84a610b3b289941691c08c029ea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?
696 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-48.89
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
583 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-153.84
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
275 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.14
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?
208 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-43.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
105 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-32.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?$48.89Dec 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$7.14Dec 9, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.14Dec 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?$43.67Dec 9, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?$43.67Dec 9, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$32.44Dec 9, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?$10.00Dec 9, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$153.84Dec 8, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $39.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".