All-Instant
0x4bafb3c4c9860bd4533bf5cf30a164e2bd71b22b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$800.82
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$70.41
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
520 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$519.99
$363.74
- YES
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$85.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1520 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$78.28
$-28.13
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
54 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.92
$1.60
- YES
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4092 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.78
$-18.67
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.50
$9.50
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.35
$-2.05
- YES
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?
4472 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-711.13
- YES
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
3829 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-170.67
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2794 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-469.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.