Frivolous-Brocolli
0x4bb02b694d0a2d74e055533c42bb0719be47e14a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$19.39
Total PnL
$1.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
15 shares @ 66.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$15.09
$5.09
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.15
$0.15
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 10?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 10?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Oct 9, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 10?$1.00Oct 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 10?$1.00Oct 9, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.00Oct 9, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Oct 9, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$10.00Oct 9, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".