Embellished-Bullet
0x4bb254b64c93730e18c89759712f2b003647a656
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$20.5K
Total PnL
$-181.5K
Realised
$422.26
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.9K
$7.4K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
9853 shares @ 19.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.7K
$-198.49
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2631 shares @ 38.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.7K
$657.86
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11905 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$994.07
$-5.95
- YES
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
6673 shares @ 6.4¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$517.13
$90.09
- YES
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$269.99
$70.00
- YES
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2700 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$151.20
$-4.20
- YES
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$127.50
$-7.4K
- YES
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2934 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$101.23
$22.01
- NO
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3706 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$61.14
$-235.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.96Jun 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.44Jun 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.49Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jun 13, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$168.00Jun 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.24Jun 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.70Jun 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.80Jun 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.00Jun 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.39Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.70Jun 13, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$3.0KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$495.00Jun 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$0.81Jun 13, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$35.02Jun 13, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.48Jun 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$90.98Jun 13, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$54.00Jun 13, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $56.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.