Honest-Epithelium
0x4bb36c063cb9fab35950628923d5ef755936aad7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$27.11
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
400 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
358 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
333 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
311 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-31.66
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
300 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
298 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
293 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$66.00Jul 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.40Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.48Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.42Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.99Jul 22, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Jul 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.18Jul 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.67Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.17Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.49Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.74Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.46Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.32Jul 22, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.59Jul 22, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.82Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.20Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.10Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.02Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.98Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.26Jul 22, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.