Elderly-Manservant
0x4bb49319e4f82bfceec54b525324b2ff822403ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$40.59
Total PnL
$4.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.41
$3.41
- NO
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.55
$0.04
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.52
$0.02
- NO
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.92
$0.20
- NO
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.59
$0.08
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.48
$0.07
- NO
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.48
$0.27
- NO
Will Trump jail Elon Musk?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.41
$0.01
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.06
- NO
Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.12
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.11Jan 24, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.71Jan 24, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.20Jan 24, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$2.30Jan 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$2.20Jan 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.31Jan 24, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.61Jan 24, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$2.00Dec 20, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$2.11Dec 20, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$2.41Dec 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOctra FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.21Dec 20, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.11Dec 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.36Dec 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$1.47Dec 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.80Dec 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.82Dec 16, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$4.28Dec 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnysphere (Cursor) IPO in 2025?$1.11Dec 10, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump jail Elon Musk?$2.40Dec 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?$2.11Dec 10, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".